Chen Zhao

Chen Zhao

Chen Zhao is the head of economics research, where she produces research on the housing market for public and internal audiences. Previously, she was an executive director leading housing finance and financial markets research at the JPMorgan Chase Institute. Prior to joining JPMCI, Chen was an economics consultant at Analysis Group, Inc., where she worked on financial litigation cases and led teams conducting health economics and outcomes research on behalf of pharmaceutical companies. While in graduate school, Chen was with the Center for Economic Studies and the Social Economic and Housing Statistics Division at the US Census Bureau, where she conducted applied microeconomics research using large scale restricted-access linked survey-administrative data. She started her career at the White House Council of Economic Advisers, where she focused on labor and health economics.

Email Chen

Most Recent

Fed Holds Rates Steady, Waits on Data to Inform Potential September Cut

The Fed held rates steady at its July meeting on Wednesday, as expected, despite dissents from two officials. All options are on the table for the September 17 meeting, but it’s clear the labor market needs to weaken for a possible rate cut to materialize. Therefore, mortgage rates will stay flat for now, but may

September Rate Cut on the Table After Mixed June Inflation Report

Mortgage rates will remain largely unchanged after inflation came in just below expectations in June, leaving the door open for a September Fed rate cut.  Core prices, which the Fed prefers to focus on, increased 0.23% in June, just short of the 0.25% increase expected by forecasters. Much of the miss came from declining hotel

Mortgage Rates to Remain Mostly Unchanged After Stronger-Than-Expected Jobs Report

The U.S. added more jobs than expected in June, and the unemployment rate declined despite expectations that it would increase. Mortgage rates may rise slightly in the short term, but they’ll stay mostly unchanged.  The June jobs report was stronger than expected. That means mortgage rates will tick up slightly today, but stay mostly unchanged.

Mortgage Rates to Stay Flat After Mild May Inflation Report

A milder-than-expected May CPI report is unlikely to shift mortgage rates because tariff-induced inflation remains a threat and the Fed will continue to hold off on rate cuts. Core prices rose 0.13% from a month ago in May, lower than the 0.27% expected by forecasters, with price increases for tariff-affected categories not yet showing up

Mortgage Rates to Reverse Recent Decline as Unemployment Holds Steady

The official May jobs report remained strong on the surface and mortgage rates will reverse a decline from recent days following a weak ADP employment report earlier this week. Under the hood, however, there are clear warning signs in this report, even though the labor market has generally held up better than expected under high

Scroll to Top