From Our Economists

Mortgage Rates to Stay Flat After Mild May Inflation Report
A milder-than-expected May CPI report is unlikely to shift mortgage rates because tariff-induced inflation remains a threat and the Fed will continue to hold off on rate cuts. Core prices rose 0.13% from a month ago in May, lower than the 0.27% expected by forecasters, with price increases for tariff-affected categories not yet showing up

Mortgage Rates to Reverse Recent Decline as Unemployment Holds Steady
The official May jobs report remained strong on the surface and mortgage rates will reverse a decline from recent days following a weak ADP employment report earlier this week. Under the hood, however, there are clear warning signs in this report, even though the labor market has generally held up better than expected under high

U.S. Tariffs: Redfin’s Latest Analysis of Housing Market Impacts
President Trump’s newly announced tariffs will impact the housing market in a variety of ways. We’ll be updating this page with new information as the situation evolves. Update: May 29, 2025 at 8:50am PDT Court of International Trade blocks Trump tariffs The Court of International Trade has ruled that the White House cannot use the

Fed Unlikely to Cut Rates for Foreseeable Future After Mild April Inflation Report
Mortgage rates will remain unchanged after April inflation data came in as expected. Elevated tariff rates will keep Fed rate cuts on pause for the foreseeable future. The BLS reported that core prices rose 0.24% from March to April and are up 2.8% from a year ago, largely in line with expectations of a 0.26%

Mortgage Rates to Hold Firm as Fed Continues ‘Wait-and-See’ Approach
Mortgage rates will stay largely unchanged after the Fed held rates steady at its May meeting, opting to remain in a noncommittal “wait-and-see” mode until more information is known about the state of the U.S. economy. The Fed kept the Federal Funds rate unchanged, as expected, and signaled no action on rates until there is

Mortgage Rates to Tick Up After Strong April Jobs Report
Mortgage rates will move slightly higher today on the back of a strong April employment report that makes the previously expected June Fed rate cut very unlikely, but a deterioration in the labor market is expected in coming months if trade policy doesn’t change. Employers added 177,000 jobs in April—more than expected by economists—with the

Mortgage Rates to Stay Flat After Mild May Inflation Report
A milder-than-expected May CPI report is unlikely to shift mortgage rates because tariff-induced inflation remains a threat and the Fed will continue to hold off on rate cuts. Core prices rose 0.13% from a month ago in May, lower than the 0.27% expected by forecasters, with price increases for tariff-affected categories not yet showing up

Mortgage Rates to Reverse Recent Decline as Unemployment Holds Steady
The official May jobs report remained strong on the surface and mortgage rates will reverse a decline from recent days following a weak ADP employment report earlier this week. Under the hood, however, there are clear warning signs in this report, even though the labor market has generally held up better than expected under high

U.S. Tariffs: Redfin’s Latest Analysis of Housing Market Impacts
President Trump’s newly announced tariffs will impact the housing market in a variety of ways. We’ll be updating this page with new information as the situation evolves. Update: May 29, 2025 at 8:50am PDT Court of International Trade blocks Trump tariffs The Court of International Trade has ruled that the White House cannot use the

Fed Unlikely to Cut Rates for Foreseeable Future After Mild April Inflation Report
Mortgage rates will remain unchanged after April inflation data came in as expected. Elevated tariff rates will keep Fed rate cuts on pause for the foreseeable future. The BLS reported that core prices rose 0.24% from March to April and are up 2.8% from a year ago, largely in line with expectations of a 0.26%

Mortgage Rates to Hold Firm as Fed Continues ‘Wait-and-See’ Approach
Mortgage rates will stay largely unchanged after the Fed held rates steady at its May meeting, opting to remain in a noncommittal “wait-and-see” mode until more information is known about the state of the U.S. economy. The Fed kept the Federal Funds rate unchanged, as expected, and signaled no action on rates until there is

Mortgage Rates to Tick Up After Strong April Jobs Report
Mortgage rates will move slightly higher today on the back of a strong April employment report that makes the previously expected June Fed rate cut very unlikely, but a deterioration in the labor market is expected in coming months if trade policy doesn’t change. Employers added 177,000 jobs in April—more than expected by economists—with the